# It’s Time for the Cardinals to Act

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/
- Published: 2018-01-27T21:09:24-06:00
- Author: Eugene Tierney

I am one of the most patient Cardinal fans out there. I don’t want them to spend
just to spend; I’m very particular about who they add and the contracts they add
to the payroll. But after this weekend, the Cardinals need to start making moves.

With the Brewers [trading for](https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/01/brewers-to-acquire-christian-yelich.html)
[Christian Yelich](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/y/yelicch01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
on Thursday and [signing](https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/01/brewers-agree-to-terms-with-lorenzo-cain.html)
[Lorenzo Cain](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cainlo01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
hours later, they are showing they aren’t messing around for 2018. Both of the teams
above the Cardinals in the 2017 standings are attempting to make moves; while the
Cardinals have been too, it’s time to step up the game.

The Cardinals have added 1.1 WAR to their existing WAR; that’s the 2017 roster, 
minus the players that left, plus the 3-year average of the guys they added. That
might be adding low on [Marcell Ozuna](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/o/ozunama01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
[Luke Gregerson](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gregelu01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
and [Dominic Leone](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/leonedo01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
but it’s also hard to sell them based on their 2017 numbers (both Ozuna and Leone
were high end, while Gregerson was low end for his Houston tenure).

The Cubs this season have added [Tyler Chatwood](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/chatwty01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
3 yr, $38M), [Brandon Morrow](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/morrobr01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
2, $21M), [Drew Smyly](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/smylydr01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
2, $10M) [Steve Cishek](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cishest01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
2, $13M), and [Brian Duensing](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/duensbr01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
2, $7M). They are still looking at adding a starting pitcher to replace [Jake Arrieta](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/arrieja01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
top candidate is [Yu Darvish](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/darviyu01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
but Arrieta is still in consideration). They also have to replace [Wade Davis](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/d/daviswa01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
[Hector Rondon](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/r/rondohe01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
[Leonys Martin](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/martile01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
[John Lackey](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/lackejo01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
[Koji Uehara](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/u/ueharko01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
and [Alex Avila](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/avilaal01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-).

The Brewers added [Boone Logan](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/l/loganbo02.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
1, $2.5M, [Jhoulys Chacin](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/chacijh01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
2, $15M), [Yovani Gallardo](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gallayo01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
1, $2M), and [Eric Sogard](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/sogarer01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
1, $2.4M) in addition to signing Cain and trading for Yelich. They lost [Anthony Swarzak](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/swarzan01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
Jered Hughes, [Wily Peralta](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/peralwi01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
[Neil Walker](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/walkene01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
[Matt Garza](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/garzama01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
and [Carlos Torres](https://www.baseball-reference.com/search/search.fcgi?pid=torreca01,torres008car&search=Carlos+Torres&utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-).
They are also in on Darvish and other rotation upgrades.

The neither team had many hitting upgrades to make (although the Brewers did make
some), so they both added pitching. Their depth is much deeper than the Cardinals
in the bullpen, but they also have a better starting 5 than the Cardinals.

So what can the Cardinals do?

They have the money to spend, so why not look at the available options for an upgrade.

The rotation should be a spot to look at; [Adam Wainwright](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/wainwad01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
is a shell of himself and [Luke Weaver](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/weavelu01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
started to struggle after teams saw him multiple times last year. The team was tied
to [Chris Archer](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/archech01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
earlier in the off-season; while Archer was told he probably won’t be dealt, the
Cardinals have the depth to make the deal for him and [Alex Colome](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/colomal01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-).
Even if they have to deal [Jack Flaherty](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/flaheja01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)(
which they have the depth in the minors to absorb the loss), the Cardinals have 
the players to continue to fill in the Major League Roster as needed.

[J.D. Martinez](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/martijd02.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
should be out of the question for hitters; he’s got a great bat, but he’s quickly
declining on defense. He’s also wanting much more than he’s worth to a National 
League club.

The other 2 top options in free agency are [Eric Hosmer](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hosmeer01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
and [Mike Moustakas](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/moustmi01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-).
While Hosmer is a nice player, he’s not better than [Matt Carpenter](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/carpema01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
overall (he’s better defensively, but he’s not going to put the Cardinals over the
other 2 clubs in the division). Adding him also blocks the ability to play [Jose Martinez](https://www.baseball-reference.com/search/search.fcgi?pid=martijo08,martijo06,martijo04,martin056jos,martin059jos,martin037jos,martin072jos,martin073jos,fermin002jos,martin018jos,martin071jos&search=Jose+Martinez&utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-),
who’s considered a breakout player for 2018.

That leaves Moustakas. He’s a definite upgrade for the team; his defense is right
there with [Jedd Gyorko](https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/gyorkje01.shtml?utm_campaign=Linker&utm_source=direct&utm_medium=linker-)
while his bat is more of an everyday option. He provides a much different role than
Carpenter too; Carpenter has proved he’s only valuable in the lead off spot. In 
2017, Carpenter was batted .221/.353/.429 as a #3 hitter with a -.119 WPA; once 
he moved to the lead off spot, he hit .267/.415/.498 while having a WPA of 1.973.
His bat is the classic #3 profile, but mentally he can’t hit outside of the lead
off spot.

If the team could sign a Moustakas to something in a 3 year deal, they could try
to move Carpenter and go with Gyorko and Martinez as their first base tandem.

That would give the Cardinals the additions they need to compete with Chicago and
Milwaukee, which gives them a really good shot of making the playoffs for the first
time since 2015.

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### _Related_

## Comments

### By: Matt

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-875
- Published: 2018-01-27T22:24:14-06:00

Moustakas doesn’t really move the needle, either, though. Every Cardinal infielder
projects at around 2.5 WAR per 600 PA. Then you have Moustakas at 3\. So about a
half-win upgrade. Not that projections are gospel, but I would bet on Carpenter 
beating his projection just as much if not more than Moustakas, so just keep him.
At this stage there just isn’t really a position player that is enough of a marginal
upgrade to justify the money. Yu is probably the only significant FA upgrade that
can be made at this point.

### By: Matt

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-876
- Published: 2018-01-27T22:35:44-06:00

Or is it, Yu are\* an upgrade?

### By: Gene

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-877
- Published: 2018-01-28T08:46:51-06:00

That sounds good. What about a trade of Carpenter to NYY for Robertson and prospect
and sign Moose and Morrison. More balance and Fowler to lead off spot

### By: EZNOD

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-878
- Published: 2018-01-28T08:49:34-06:00

IMO…trade for Archer or sign Lynn

### By: EZNOD

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-879
- Published: 2018-01-28T08:52:04-06:00

WAINO is a gamble at this point. Maybe spring training we will get a better knowledge
of what we have in him.

### By: Big Daddy Dawg

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-880
- Published: 2018-01-28T09:03:57-06:00

Your assessment that Cubs’ and Brewers’ bullpens and rotations are stronger than
Cardinals is completely off. As it sits today, I will take Cardinals staff heading
into season over either of those teams’. You have neglected to mention and take 
into account Miles Mikolas signing and the fact that the Redbirds – as of today –
have the best SP in the division in Carlos Martinez. Finally, neither of the Royals
FAs is a fit – the fit here offensively is a guy like Logan Morrison while working
to swing a trade for a lefty (Danny Duffy or Sean Manaea?) would be helpful.

### By: Twm

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-881
- Published: 2018-01-28T10:44:34-06:00

Good article but the Cards should have gutted the Marlins while they had the chance.
Pham, Flaherty, and Kelly for Yelich and Realmuto. Move Yadi to 1st and Carp to 
third. With that lineup they’re favored to win world series. And the numbers work
out. And they would have pre-empted UBS and brewers. (And fire Moreliak while you’re
at it.)

### By: William Siebert

- Link: https://www.nyrdcast.com/its-time-for-the-cardinals-to-act/#comment-882
- Published: 2018-01-28T15:45:49-06:00

Theyll rue the day trading Flaherty, if it comes to pass..
